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Singapore's shares ended 2012's penultimate session in the green, but while hopes the U.S. would avoid dropping off the fiscal cliff as negotiations are set to resume bolstered the market, caution persisted.
"The markets are hopeful," said Alvin Liew, senior economist at UOB. But he added, "Let's not hold our breath." He expects lawmakers may patch up a temporary deal, perhaps a three-month extension. "Judging by the last two years of American politics we've seen so far, you wouldn't be too hopeful of a grand bargain coming out in the next few days. If so, it would be the biggest surprise of 2012."
The 30-share Straits Times Index ended up 7.87 points, or 0.2%, at 3191.80, totting up a total 0.9% gain for the holiday-shortened week. The index has risen 23 of the past 29 sessions, for a total 8.4% gain over the period.
"Should a fiscal deal--even a more modest one--be hammered by next Monday (Dec. 31), we could still see a strong impulse move up," said Ng Weiwen, macro analyst at Phillip Securities, in a note. "Bulls want to charge higher but lack the conviction to do so amid uncertainties over the looming U.S. fiscal cliff."
But Jason Hughes, head of premium client management at IG Markets Singapore, noted "volumes remain quite subdued and you potentially see people realigning their portfolios before the end of the year before taking Monday and Tuesday off and starting afresh in 2013." Volume was scant at 2.19 billion shares valued at only 946.6 million Singapore dollars ($774.1 million). In the broader market, gainers topped losers more than two to one.
Olam climbed 2.3% to S$1.56, coming off an early drop to S$1.485 despite going ex-rights as Singapore state investment company Temasek Holdings continued to increase its holding in the supply-chain manager, with its stake rising to 19% from 18%. Temasek raised its stake to 18% from 16.3% last week. "In our judgment, the company represents a reasonable attractive investment over the long term," Temasek spokesman Stephen Forshaw said by telephone Friday.
Keppel rose 0.4% to S$11.00 after announcing it landed three new contracts valued at a combined S$420 million, bringing year-to-date order wins to S$9.9 billion.
STX Pan Ocean rose 11.4% to S$4.70, despite trading ex-dividend, after Morgan Stanley and Standard Chartered were appointed lead managers for STX group's planned sale of its stake in the bulk shipper. STX Pan Ocean's Korean shares ended up by the 15% daily limit at 4,715 won ($4.40).
UOB ended down 0.3% at S$19.82, well off its early 3.5% drop to S$19.18, the likely driver for the STI's intraday slip into negative territory. Amid low volume, UOB's traded price suddenly made a large drop from one trade to the next at 0356 GMT, with the price moving to S$19.20 from S$19.52, which could suggest a fat-finger error. "We're definitely seeing some strange moves" in the market, IG Markets' Hughes said, citing low volume and end-of-year portfolio moves.
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Sunday, December 30, 2012
Saturday, December 15, 2012
Market Summary 15th December 2012
Singapore's shares
powered ahead to set yet another 16-month high Friday, bolstered by positive
economic data from China spurring a strong rally on the mainland.
The preliminary HSBC China Manufacturing PMI for December climbed to a 14-month high of 50.9, up from November's 50.5 final reading. The data was slightly above the market's expectation for 50.8, said Suan Teck Kin, treasury economist at UOB. "The data suggest the bottoming out process has already taken place," he said, adding "if it's positive for China, it should be positive for the rest of the world as well, especially for Asia."
The 30-share Straits Times Index ended up 11.88 points, or 0.4%, at 3168.43, tacking on 2.0% for the week. The index has now risen 17 of the past 20 sessions, rallying 7.6% from its Nov. 16 trough. Volume was 2.13 billion shares valued at S$1.20 billion, in line with Thursday's level.
Among stocks with exposure to China's recovery, CapitaLand ended up 1.1% at S$3.76, Global Logistic Properties tacked on 3.0% to S$2.79 and Yanlord rose 4.8% to S$1.54.
Several STI components jumped despite a dearth of news, with Noble rising 1.8% to S$1.15, City Developments climbing 3.5% to S$12.92 and Genting Singapore gaining 1.9% to S$1.37.
"If fund managers do have a need to put in a bit of window dressing, they'll probably focus on all the underperfoming high-beta stocks," said Carey Wong, an analyst at OCBC. "In the fourth quarter, all the high beta underperformers put in a good show," he said. "It's nothing to do with fundamentals."
Gallant Venture ended flat at S$0.28 after it said it would acquire 52.4% of auto-parts company Indomobil Sukses Internasional for US$809.3 million. "It's left pocket to right-hand pocket," said Ferry Wong, an analyst at Citigroup; he said both companies are essentially owned by the Salim Group. "I don't expect Gallant Venture to add expertise on the operation side," said Wilianto Ie, an analyst at Nomura. "It might change the ability of Indomobil to find cheaper funding," he said, adding that "there has always been a presumption that if you are listed in Singapore, you have better access to funding. The financing business of Indomobil will need to issue a lot of bonds."
TT International ended up 20.3% at S$0.178 in high volume accounting for more than 9% of shares changing hands on the SGX after the company said it entered an agreement with Prima BB Ltd. and Utraco Investment Pte. to develop Big Box, a mega-warehouse retail project in Singapore, with a combined investment of S$92.0 million.
The preliminary HSBC China Manufacturing PMI for December climbed to a 14-month high of 50.9, up from November's 50.5 final reading. The data was slightly above the market's expectation for 50.8, said Suan Teck Kin, treasury economist at UOB. "The data suggest the bottoming out process has already taken place," he said, adding "if it's positive for China, it should be positive for the rest of the world as well, especially for Asia."
The 30-share Straits Times Index ended up 11.88 points, or 0.4%, at 3168.43, tacking on 2.0% for the week. The index has now risen 17 of the past 20 sessions, rallying 7.6% from its Nov. 16 trough. Volume was 2.13 billion shares valued at S$1.20 billion, in line with Thursday's level.
Among stocks with exposure to China's recovery, CapitaLand ended up 1.1% at S$3.76, Global Logistic Properties tacked on 3.0% to S$2.79 and Yanlord rose 4.8% to S$1.54.
Several STI components jumped despite a dearth of news, with Noble rising 1.8% to S$1.15, City Developments climbing 3.5% to S$12.92 and Genting Singapore gaining 1.9% to S$1.37.
"If fund managers do have a need to put in a bit of window dressing, they'll probably focus on all the underperfoming high-beta stocks," said Carey Wong, an analyst at OCBC. "In the fourth quarter, all the high beta underperformers put in a good show," he said. "It's nothing to do with fundamentals."
Gallant Venture ended flat at S$0.28 after it said it would acquire 52.4% of auto-parts company Indomobil Sukses Internasional for US$809.3 million. "It's left pocket to right-hand pocket," said Ferry Wong, an analyst at Citigroup; he said both companies are essentially owned by the Salim Group. "I don't expect Gallant Venture to add expertise on the operation side," said Wilianto Ie, an analyst at Nomura. "It might change the ability of Indomobil to find cheaper funding," he said, adding that "there has always been a presumption that if you are listed in Singapore, you have better access to funding. The financing business of Indomobil will need to issue a lot of bonds."
TT International ended up 20.3% at S$0.178 in high volume accounting for more than 9% of shares changing hands on the SGX after the company said it entered an agreement with Prima BB Ltd. and Utraco Investment Pte. to develop Big Box, a mega-warehouse retail project in Singapore, with a combined investment of S$92.0 million.
Monday, December 10, 2012
Market Summary 8th December 2012
The 30-share Straits Times Index ended up 28.91 points, or
0.9%, at 3107.11, after touching an intraday high of 3110.51, within spitting
distance of its 3110.86 year-to-date high. The index is up 1.2% for the week;
it has risen in 12 of the last 15 sessions.
"Traders anticipated some good numbers out of the
Chinese economy this weekend. The local market was also buoyed by
better-than-expected U.S. jobless claims last night," said Justin Harper,
market strategist at IG Markets Singapore, in a note, citing China's retail
sales and industrial production as among the data due Sunday. "For this
bullish undertone to spark life into an end-of-year rally, we will need to see
more progress on U.S.
fiscal cliff talks very soon. And a strong read for tonight's non-farm payrolls
report would help, once the Superstorm Sandy effect is factored in," he
added.
Volume ticked up slightly from Thursday, with 1.95 billion
shares valued at S$1.51 billion changing hands.
Sembcorp Marine gained 2.0% to S$4.51 after landing a contract
worth US$434 million to construct two jack-up rigs for Mexico 's
Integradora de Servicios Petroleros Oro Negro, with delivery scheduled for the
fourth quarter of 2013 and the first quarter of 2014. "(The pricing is)
slightly higher than what we expected, but for the early delivery, it's in line
with expectations. I think the margins on these two rigs will be pretty
good," an analyst said, noting Oro Negro is a new client.
Olam received a respite from its recent declines, ending up
0.7% at S$1.46, but it remains down 16.1% since Nov. 19, when negative comments
from short seller Muddy Waters' founder Carson Block first surfaced. Macquarie downgraded Olam to Neutral from Outperform.
"Muddy Waters' call for insolvency is a stretch. But we must accept that
Olam's transformation projects are taking longer than we expected to come
through," the house said in a note.
Singapore Press Holdings was the worst-performing STI
component, shedding 4.1%, or 17 Singapore
cents, to S$4.01 as it went ex-dividend for its planned 17-cent dividend
payment. UOB KayHian said its monthly page-count monitor of SPH's flagship
Straits Times suggests decent advertising-spend growth of 3%-5% on year in
September-November. But the house kept a Hold call as it expects the muted
advertising revenue growth to cap any gains.
Friday, November 30, 2012
Market Summary 1st December 2012
Singapore's shares ended higher Friday, turning in gains for
nine sessions out of the past ten, as the market shrugged off negative
rumblings over negotiations to avert the U.S. fiscal cliff.
Republicans on Thursday rejected President Obama's opening budget-talk bid and House Speaker Boehner said he was "disappointed" with the lack of progress. "The market is prepping for an amicable resolution and attributing the comments from the Republicans as just that. It's not translating into any (market) reaction," said Liu Jinshu, deputy lead analyst at SIAS Research. "The positive is that they've started to talk. It's different from August 2011. This time around, the White House is taking the initiative. If the Republicans reject the package, the blame will be on them," he said. But in a note, Maybank warned "the mood of the crowd can turn on a dime, and we think it best to resort to watching the charts and headlines closer in the short term."
The 30-share Straits Times Index ended up 24.05 points, or 0.8%, at 3069.95, its highest close since Oct. 8. The index tacked on 2.7% for the week. Volume was strong at 2.32 billion shares valued at S$2.36 billion, indicating market players are refocusing on blue-chips after their recent infatuation with penny plays.
But Yeo Kee Yan, market strategist at DBS Vickers, said the gains might not last. "I don't see the index continuing to rise next week. At best sideways, or giving back some of this week's gain," he said. He added that gains will likely be capped until there's a resolution to the fiscal cliff, and said the index's near-term resistance around 3090-3100 was very close. He also expects the traditional year-end lull period to put a damper on gains, with shares picking up again only around the Christmas period.
Olam tacked on 1.0% to S$1.575, extending Thursday's 4.0% rise in strong volume. An analyst said insider buying by the CEO and two directors are "a strong show of support," while there was nothing new in short seller Muddy Waters' latest salvo against the company. Muddy Waters issued an eight-page response to Olam's 45-page rebuttal of the short seller's 133-page report accusing the commodities trader of a litany of failures, ranging from incompetence to malfeasance; Olam called the allegations "false and misleading" and has filed suit in Singapore on allegation of libel and slander.
Among other commodity plays, Golden Agri ended down 0.8% at S$0.66, erasing some of Thursday's 4.7% rise in strong volume accounting for 6.6% of shares changing hands on the SGX.
CapitaLand rose 0.9% to S$3.53. Citigroup said the company's S$505 million bid for a Bishan residential site adjacent to its current Sky Habitat project was a defensive move to prevent competing developers from under-cutting its price.
Genting Singapore advanced 2.4% to S$1.28 in strong volume, with large trade sizes suggesting institutional interest. "Some people believe that we're at the bottom of the earnings cycle for gaming around the region," an analyst said, adding another potential reason for the rise is "you've got pending political change in Japan. So people obviously get hopeful about potential legalization of casinos."
Republicans on Thursday rejected President Obama's opening budget-talk bid and House Speaker Boehner said he was "disappointed" with the lack of progress. "The market is prepping for an amicable resolution and attributing the comments from the Republicans as just that. It's not translating into any (market) reaction," said Liu Jinshu, deputy lead analyst at SIAS Research. "The positive is that they've started to talk. It's different from August 2011. This time around, the White House is taking the initiative. If the Republicans reject the package, the blame will be on them," he said. But in a note, Maybank warned "the mood of the crowd can turn on a dime, and we think it best to resort to watching the charts and headlines closer in the short term."
The 30-share Straits Times Index ended up 24.05 points, or 0.8%, at 3069.95, its highest close since Oct. 8. The index tacked on 2.7% for the week. Volume was strong at 2.32 billion shares valued at S$2.36 billion, indicating market players are refocusing on blue-chips after their recent infatuation with penny plays.
But Yeo Kee Yan, market strategist at DBS Vickers, said the gains might not last. "I don't see the index continuing to rise next week. At best sideways, or giving back some of this week's gain," he said. He added that gains will likely be capped until there's a resolution to the fiscal cliff, and said the index's near-term resistance around 3090-3100 was very close. He also expects the traditional year-end lull period to put a damper on gains, with shares picking up again only around the Christmas period.
Olam tacked on 1.0% to S$1.575, extending Thursday's 4.0% rise in strong volume. An analyst said insider buying by the CEO and two directors are "a strong show of support," while there was nothing new in short seller Muddy Waters' latest salvo against the company. Muddy Waters issued an eight-page response to Olam's 45-page rebuttal of the short seller's 133-page report accusing the commodities trader of a litany of failures, ranging from incompetence to malfeasance; Olam called the allegations "false and misleading" and has filed suit in Singapore on allegation of libel and slander.
Among other commodity plays, Golden Agri ended down 0.8% at S$0.66, erasing some of Thursday's 4.7% rise in strong volume accounting for 6.6% of shares changing hands on the SGX.
CapitaLand rose 0.9% to S$3.53. Citigroup said the company's S$505 million bid for a Bishan residential site adjacent to its current Sky Habitat project was a defensive move to prevent competing developers from under-cutting its price.
Genting Singapore advanced 2.4% to S$1.28 in strong volume, with large trade sizes suggesting institutional interest. "Some people believe that we're at the bottom of the earnings cycle for gaming around the region," an analyst said, adding another potential reason for the rise is "you've got pending political change in Japan. So people obviously get hopeful about potential legalization of casinos."
Saturday, November 17, 2012
Market Summary at 17th November 2012
Shares started weaker in early trading, after the government
reported Singapore 's
gross domestic product contracted 5.9% in the July-September period from the
previous quarter on seasonally adjusted, annualized terms, sharper than an
October estimate of a 1.5% contraction. Although the Straits Times Index rose
to an intraday high of 2,954.42 as investors sought bargains, the benchmark
index ended 0.01%, or 0.29 point, lower at 2,945.63. Volume fell to 1.48
billion shares from 2.66 billion on Thursday, and gainers outnumbered losers
209 to 183.
The benchmark ended the week 2.1% lower.
However, some analysts said the Singapore stock market has likely
bottomed. "Obviously, markets rightfully fear a number of crash-inducing
events now, including the U.S.
fiscal cliff, a euro-zone breakup, and a China hard-landing," CIMB said
in a note. However, "markets have a habit of proving its worst fears, or
its worst hopes, unfounded though. The fact that all these are expected means
that it is unlikely to happen; if anything were to trigger a major crash, it
has to be something not expected now." Several economists say they expect U.S.
politicians to reach a deal by the end of the year to avoid sharp tax increases
and spending cuts, popularly known as 'fiscal cliff.'
Fraser & Neave was the top performer, gaining 1.6% to
close at 9.28 Singapore
dollars (US$7.58) as rival Thai and Indonesian tycoons battled for the
beer-to-real estate conglomerate. Thai billionaire Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi's
TCC Assets, which has submitted a bid for Fraser & Neave, is considering
all options--including raising its offer--after Overseas Union Enterprise,
controlled by Indonesia 's
Riady family, made a counter offer for the company Thursday, according to
people with knowledge of the deal.
Stocks of several other companies that had been battered
earlier this week clawed back. Wilmar International added 1.3% to close at
S$3.16 after losing 1.6% earlier in the week and Noble Group gained 1% to close
at S$1.06. However, Golden Agri-Resources closed 2.4% lower at S$0.60, as
investors buying the stock now won't be eligible for dividend payment.
Global Logistic Properties was the biggest decliner among
benchmark shares, shedding 2.7% to S$2.52 amid signs of economic trouble in Japan and China , which are its main markets.
Saturday, November 10, 2012
10th November 2012
Chinese industrial production rose 9.6% in October from a
year earlier, beating market forecasts and picking up pace from the previous
month. The improvement in manufacturing "adds more fuel to the
bottoming-out argument," said Justin Harper, a market strategist at IG
Markets. Meanwhile, inflation in China moderated in October, showing
that the government has room to further stimulate the economy if necessary.
"This has caused stimulus junkies to start salivating at the prospect of
more policy easing from the PBOC," said Mr. Harper.
But worries about the U.S. fiscal cliff weighed on Asian
equities markets generally. Still, Singapore 's
30-share Straits Times Index shed only 0.1%, less than regional counterparts
like Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index, which was down 0.9% Friday, and Korea 's Kospi,
which lost 0.5%.
The STI ended 2.69 points lower at 3009.56. Psychological
support at the 3000 level might have curtailed the STI's losses, as trade was
"directionless" for most of the day, said SIAS Research analyst Ng Kian
Teck. Volumes were lower with 1.27 billion shares changing hands compared with
1.72 billion Thursday. In the broader market, losers outnumbered gainers 263 to
135.
Noble Group plunged 7.8% to close at S$1.175, making it the
biggest decliner among the STI components after its third-quarter earnings
disappointed investors. UOB KayHian cut the commodity supply-chain company to a
sell rating from buy, citing a weaker-than-expected performance in the
agriculture and energy businesses, even though the company posted a net profit
of US$75 million overall.
Wilmar climbed 1.6% to end at S$3.17, after reporting a 26%
rise in third-quarter income.
OCBC crept 0.2% higher to end at S$9.10 as its third-quarter
results, including a nearly fourfold increase in net operating profit, were in
line with what the market was expecting.
Sunday, October 28, 2012
26th October 2012
"The only thing I can put my finger down to is news
from yesterday, here in Asia , that the Chinese
gauge of manufacturing, the HSBC and MNI, showed slight improvement in
manufacturing activities. It gave those sitting on the sidelines a little added
confidence to come in," despite poor European data, said Song Seng Wun,
head of research at CIMB. "There's really nothing else. The earnings front
isn't giving anyone any reason to go either way."
The 30-share Straits Times Index ended Thursday up 12.78
points, or 0.4%, at 3057.51. While the index eked out a 0.3% gain for the week,
it remains stuck in recent ranges, unable to break above 3060 resistance.
Volume was sleepy at 1.39 billion shares valued at only S$1.01 billion, heavily
skewed toward penny plays.
Takeover target Fraser & Neave remained in the
spotlight, ending up 0.3% at S$9.23 after TCC Assets extended its S$8.88/share
offer for the conglomerate to Nov. 8 from the original Oct. 29 deadline. Volume
in the shares was strong, with around S$43 million worth changing hands amid a
series of large trades.
Singapore Airlines rose 0.3% to S$10.68, in line with the
broader market, not reacting much to its plans to acquire 25 new Airbus
aircraft in an order valued at US$7.5 billion and its plans to end non-stop
Singapore-Los Angeles and Singapore-New York flights. Credit Suisse doesn't
expect the aircraft orders to affect the carrier's finances much near term, but
it says the impact of mothballing the non-stop Singapore-U.S. services will be
more immediate. "The route cancellation is a tacit admission of the
difficult trading that we think will be evident in Singapore Airlines'
fiscal-2Q13 numbers on Nov. 2--particularly given its premium market
exposure," it said in a note, adding it may raise earnings forecasts after
the money-losing service is cancelled.
Hutchison Port Holdings Trust fell 4.3% to S$0.785 after
reporting its third-quarter net profit fell 15.1% year-on-year to HK$601.7
million, with results around 13% below HPHT's prospectus projection amid weak U.S. and Europe
trade demand. Jefferies downgraded the stock to Hold from Buy after the results
missed its forecasts. "Facing tough macro headwinds, low quality volume
growth and high capex requirements, we expect HPHT to cut its 2013 dividend by
10% from the 2012 level followed by a 2% cut in 2014. The recent 15% rally on
yield-chasing trade is also a bit excessive in our view, without fundamental
support," the house said.
Friday, October 19, 2012
20th October 2012
Poor third-quarter earnings results from Google dragged U.S. stocks
overnight and the downbeat mood appears to have spilled over into Asian and
European markets. "I think the guidance is still looking a bit
cautious," said Carey Wong, an analyst at OCBC. "That's why the
market isn't really going anywhere." But signs of improvement in China 's economy that emerged this week may
buttress investor sentiment and support Singapore shares in future
sessions, he added.
The 30-share Straits Times Index declined 11.44 points, or
0.4%, at 3048.92. Volumes were up with 1.8 billion shares changing hands, up
from Thursday's 1.4 billion.
Lackluster earnings reports from some STI component
companies also dented share prices. Singapore Exchange slid 0.7% to close at
S$6.80 after reporting net profit fell 15% in the quarter ended September 30,
on lower trading volumes.
Offshore rig-builder Keppel Corp. fell 0.9% to close at
S$11.29, after it reported third-quarter profit fell 14.7% on-year. "While
the company has been guiding for margins to come down for some time, we're
seeing this play out," said Vincent Fernando, an analyst at Religare
Capital, who kept the stock at Buy, but lowered his target price to S$12.80
from S$13.90. Another rig-builder, Sembcorp Marine Ltd., was the biggest
decliner among STI components, falling 1.6% to close at S$4.86.
Bucking the general selling trend was Fraser & Neave
Ltd., up 4.0% to close at S$9.29, after property firm Overseas Union Enterprise
Ltd. said it is in talks to make an offer for the conglomerate. OUE's advance
buoyed F&N shares as investors reckoned that the emergence of a new suitor
would lead Thai billionaire Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi to increase his S$7.2
billion bid.
F&N was the second-most active share by value traded,
with S$105.6 million shares changing hands. It was eclipsed only by Indonesian
coal play Geo Energy, which saw volumes of S$149.9 million in shares traded,
and advanced 34% from its IPO price of S$0.325 to close at S$0.435.
Monday, October 15, 2012
Market Summary 13 Oct 2012
The benchmark 30-component STI ended 0.3%, or 9.09 points, higher at 3041.75 points, with a total of 1.44 billion shares changing hands, up from 1.24 billion Thursday. The index ended 2.1% lower on the week.
"Capital flows into the
Earlier in the day, the Monetary Authority of Singapore unexpectedly kept its monetary policy unchanged and said it will continue to guide the local currency on its current appreciation path, as inflation concerns trumped a contraction in the economy in the third quarter.
Phillip Securities in a note said any gains in the
Shares were mostly mixed, with commodities stocks leading the gains. Wilmar International finished the day 3.6% higher at 3.17
Fraser & Neave, which is currently the takeover target of Thai billionaire Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi's TCC Assets, ended flat at S$8.89 after trading in positive territory for most of the day. Investors said they hope Mr. Charoen would raise his offer price of S$8.88 a share for the company.
Shares of DBS Group Holdings were up 0.3% at S$14.18, as the bank said after the market closed Thursday that it sold a 10.4% stake in Bank of the
The
In the broader market, gainers dwarfed decliners 214 to 166.
Sunday, October 7, 2012
6 October 2012
Singapore shares rose to a 14-month high tracking a regional rally
Friday as investors cheered upbeat U.S. economic data and reassurances by the
European Central Bank chief to support troubled euro-zone economies.
Underpinning the rally were better-than-expected weekly jobless claims and factory-order data in theU.S. as well as ECB President Mario
Draghi's affirmation Thursday of the central bank's plan to purchase bonds from
European states that request assistance.
The 30-share Straits Times Index ended 0.7%, or 21.23 points, higher at 3,107.87--its highest closing level since Aug. 3, 2011. For the week, the index closed up 1.6%.
However, while Thursday'sU.S. jobless-claims data may have boosted
expectations slightly, "much hope rests on tonight's lottery of the U.S. employment
report," UOB Economic-Treasury Research said in a note. "The risk
here is for a marginal beat to disappoint." "So here we sit again
with the chance that risk assets could be boosted whichever way the number
prints," as a weak reading might be seen as a precursor to more stimulus
steps by the U.S. Federal Reserve, Jason Hughes, head of premium client
management at IG Markets Singapore, said. "Cynics out there might be right
in assessing that this non-farm number doesn't really matter all that much
then."
Some cautiousness ahead of theU.S. jobs data
due later in the global day helped drag trading volume down to 1.35 billion
shares from 1.6 billion shares traded Thursday.
Gainers outnumbered decliners 277 to 163. Although only 14 of its 30 components ended higher, the STI held on to gains supported by strong performance by Jardine-linked heavyweights. Jardine Cycle & Carriage, the index's best performer, surged 6.9% to S$53.26, as analysts flagged an upbeat outlook for its 50.1%-owned Indonesian automotive unit, Astra. Credit Suisse expectsIndonesia
to pass low-cost green car regulations in the next six months, and Astra
expects to launch its models by the second half of 2013, while its competitors
are tipped to launch only at the end of 2013.
Palm oil company Golden Agri-Resources snapped a three-day losing streak, rising 2.4% to S$0.645 as crude palm oil prices recovered from recent sharp drops.
Some property stocks also gave the benchmark index a lift. CapitaLand and rival City Developments both extended recent gains, with CapitaLand ending 0.3% higher at S$3.30 and City Developments adding 0.2% to close at S$11.95.Hongkong
Land rose 0.8% to end at
US$6.08.
Underpinning the rally were better-than-expected weekly jobless claims and factory-order data in the
The 30-share Straits Times Index ended 0.7%, or 21.23 points, higher at 3,107.87--its highest closing level since Aug. 3, 2011. For the week, the index closed up 1.6%.
However, while Thursday's
Some cautiousness ahead of the
Gainers outnumbered decliners 277 to 163. Although only 14 of its 30 components ended higher, the STI held on to gains supported by strong performance by Jardine-linked heavyweights. Jardine Cycle & Carriage, the index's best performer, surged 6.9% to S$53.26, as analysts flagged an upbeat outlook for its 50.1%-owned Indonesian automotive unit, Astra. Credit Suisse expects
Palm oil company Golden Agri-Resources snapped a three-day losing streak, rising 2.4% to S$0.645 as crude palm oil prices recovered from recent sharp drops.
Some property stocks also gave the benchmark index a lift. CapitaLand and rival City Developments both extended recent gains, with CapitaLand ending 0.3% higher at S$3.30 and City Developments adding 0.2% to close at S$11.95.
Sunday, September 30, 2012
29 September 2012
Shares in Singapore
closed little changed on Friday, giving up gains from earlier in the day as
investors remained jittery about the sovereign debt crisis in Europe
and didn't want to take fresh positions going into the weekend.
The 30-share Straits Times Index closed 0.91 points, or 0.03%, higher at 3,060.34 after touching as high as 3,073.08. The benchmark slipped into the red briefly. The STI finished the week with a 0.6% loss as enthusiasm about central banks injecting life into the world economy waned and concerns about some European nations' ability to push bitter reform measures came back to haunt markets.
Volumes were lower at 1.57 billion compared with 2.07 billion on Thursday and gainers edged out decliners 230 to 209.
"It is still too early to tell if this is but a minor relief rally in a larger down-move, or if the decline is indeed over and markets are reverting back to risk-on again," Maybank analysts said in a note. The benchmark shares likely lack the momentum to push the index out of its recent 3046-3088 band, especially as the weekend kept players from taking firm positions.
Relatively safer stocks, whose businesses are less affected by the global economy, were among the prominent gainers. Investors also like these companies because of their regular dividend payments.
ComfortDelGro was the top performer on the STI and the transport operator closed 2.4% higher at S$1.715. Singapore Technologies Engineering was the second best performing stock, up 2.0% at S$3.54. Mobile operator StarHub rose 1.4% to S$3.72.
Fraser & Neave closed little changed after its shareholders agreed, as expected, to sell their stake in a beer joint venture to Heineken for about $4.6 billion, ending a two-month takeover saga. Shares shed 0.1% to S$8.88.
Cyclical stocks, those most exposed to the global economic environment, had fewer takers. Golden Agri-Resources shed 0.8% to S$0.660 while Noble Group was off 0.4% at S$1.325. GentingSingapore
settled 0.4% lower at S$1.37.
The 30-share Straits Times Index closed 0.91 points, or 0.03%, higher at 3,060.34 after touching as high as 3,073.08. The benchmark slipped into the red briefly. The STI finished the week with a 0.6% loss as enthusiasm about central banks injecting life into the world economy waned and concerns about some European nations' ability to push bitter reform measures came back to haunt markets.
Volumes were lower at 1.57 billion compared with 2.07 billion on Thursday and gainers edged out decliners 230 to 209.
"It is still too early to tell if this is but a minor relief rally in a larger down-move, or if the decline is indeed over and markets are reverting back to risk-on again," Maybank analysts said in a note. The benchmark shares likely lack the momentum to push the index out of its recent 3046-3088 band, especially as the weekend kept players from taking firm positions.
Relatively safer stocks, whose businesses are less affected by the global economy, were among the prominent gainers. Investors also like these companies because of their regular dividend payments.
ComfortDelGro was the top performer on the STI and the transport operator closed 2.4% higher at S$1.715. Singapore Technologies Engineering was the second best performing stock, up 2.0% at S$3.54. Mobile operator StarHub rose 1.4% to S$3.72.
Fraser & Neave closed little changed after its shareholders agreed, as expected, to sell their stake in a beer joint venture to Heineken for about $4.6 billion, ending a two-month takeover saga. Shares shed 0.1% to S$8.88.
Cyclical stocks, those most exposed to the global economic environment, had fewer takers. Golden Agri-Resources shed 0.8% to S$0.660 while Noble Group was off 0.4% at S$1.325. Genting
Sunday, September 23, 2012
22 September 2012
Singapore shares ended firmer Friday as riskier assets like equities were supported by ample liquidity and the prospect of more to come following moves by central banks to ease policy.
The 30-share Straits Times Index closed 0.5%, or 15.62 points, higher at 3078.23. The benchmark index gained 0.3% during the week. Gainers outnumbered decliners 292 to 139 while volumes were nearly unchanged at 1.43 billion shares.
The 30-share Straits Times Index closed 0.5%, or 15.62 points, higher at 3078.23. The benchmark index gained 0.3% during the week. Gainers outnumbered decliners 292 to 139 while volumes were nearly unchanged at 1.43 billion shares.
"The euphoria over QE3 is mostly done and attention will shift back to the economic part of the equation," says Lee Kok Joo, head of research at Phillip Securities. "Attention will shift to whether there's any improvement in the macro outlook. This will be the catalyst for any rerating of the market going forward."
OCBC analyst Carey Wong said "the worse the economy does the better rewarded" the market is. "People are expecting money to pour into Asia," Mr. Wong said. "Singapore continues to be a relatively safe haven, so some of the funds are still coming here. Interest rates here are low. Then of course, there's a good chance the Singapore dollar could continue to appreciate."
Near-term resistance remains likely around the year-to-date high of 3088.
Cyclical plays received strong support with shipping company Neptune Orient Lines climbing 1.8% to S$1.145, Golden Agri-Resource up 0.8% at S$0.665 and Olam International 0.5% higher at S$2.05.
Maybank-Kim Eng has upgraded Neptune Orient Lines to Buy from Sell, saying the Federal Reserve's third round of quantitative easing and the European Union's bond-buying program offer a solid floor for the world-wide economy for now. "Take advantage of residual weak sentiment from NOL's exclusion from the STI to own a stock well poised to ride the recovery cycle," the house said.
Property stocks, which benefit from the low-interest rate environment, were also higher with both CapitaLand and City Developments up 1.4% at S$3.17 and S$11.63 respectively.
OCBC analyst Carey Wong said "the worse the economy does the better rewarded" the market is. "People are expecting money to pour into Asia," Mr. Wong said. "Singapore continues to be a relatively safe haven, so some of the funds are still coming here. Interest rates here are low. Then of course, there's a good chance the Singapore dollar could continue to appreciate."
Near-term resistance remains likely around the year-to-date high of 3088.
Cyclical plays received strong support with shipping company Neptune Orient Lines climbing 1.8% to S$1.145, Golden Agri-Resource up 0.8% at S$0.665 and Olam International 0.5% higher at S$2.05.
Maybank-Kim Eng has upgraded Neptune Orient Lines to Buy from Sell, saying the Federal Reserve's third round of quantitative easing and the European Union's bond-buying program offer a solid floor for the world-wide economy for now. "Take advantage of residual weak sentiment from NOL's exclusion from the STI to own a stock well poised to ride the recovery cycle," the house said.
Property stocks, which benefit from the low-interest rate environment, were also higher with both CapitaLand and City Developments up 1.4% at S$3.17 and S$11.63 respectively.
Sunday, September 16, 2012
14th September 2012
"The Fed's blank check was enough to send all prices higher. This means 'risk on,' at least for now," UOB Economic-Treasury Research said in a note. But "one cannot help but wonder what would happen when this Dickensian market goes 'please sir, I want some more.'"
The 30-share Straits Times Index rose 1.3%, or 40.28 points, to close at 3070.42--its highest closing level since Aug. 6. For the week, the benchmark index ended 1.9% higher. In the broader market, volume climbed to 2.39 billion shares compared with 1.47 billion shares traded Thursday. Gainers outnumbered decliners 406 to 112.
DBS Vickers expects the benchmark index to gradually work toward 3200 in the fourth quarter, with 3050 and 3075 the two immediate levels to watch. While the STI may underperform the region, DBS Vickers said that "opportunities can be found among the cyclical stocks" such as commodity and offshore and marine names.
Commodity counters led the blue-chip charge, in which all but three STI components ended higher. Wilmar International soared 8% to a one-month high at S$3.24 while Noble Group climbed 5.5% to S$1.35--its highest close since April 4. Olam International, too, hit a one-month high, rising 5.1% to S$2.08. Golden Agri-Resources gained 3% to end at S$0.690.
Property plays also pushed higher, many of them reversing losses suffered Thursday.
Saturday, September 8, 2012
8 September 2012
News that Beijing has approved greater infrastructure spending, including 25 subway and 13 highway projects since April, also boosted sentiment, helping the 30-share Straits Times Index snap a four-day losing run.
"The liquidity fairies delivered on what the markets had been crossing their fingers for over the past six weeks," Andrew Taylor, markets strategist at GFT Markets, said in a note. But "markets sort of know in the back of their mind that these band-aid solutions have only a limited shelf life and each time their effects are reduced," Mr. Taylor said, adding that if European Union leaders don't move forward on integration, "we will see the same strong sell off."
The 30-share Straits Times Index rose 0.8%, or 22.44 points, to end at 3,011.70, but still closed the week 0.5% lower. Volume rose to 1.52 billion shares from 1.08 billion shares Thursday, while gainers outnumbered decliners 324 to 128.
"It will take like one or two months for different market segments to gain confidence. The volume won't change overnight," said Liu Jinshu, deputy lead analyst at SIAS Research. "Weak volume may seem that the market is noncommittal, but given the overnight movement in the (
Cyclical counters, sensitive to shifts in global economic sentiment, led the gains. Commodity trader Noble Group was up 3.4% at S$1.235, while rival Olam International gained 2.7% to S$1.91.
Rigbuilder Keppel Corp. also registered gains, and was up 1.5% at S$11.15, while container shipper Neptune Orient Lines advanced 3.3% to S$1.11.
Property developers also joined the broad-based blue chip rally. CapitaLand rose 1.7% to S$3.08 and City Developments advanced 1.5% to S$11.27.
Golden Agri-Resources performed worst among just six declining STI components, dropping 4.3% to S$0.665, after the palm-oil company announced plans to raises up to US$500 million through a five-year convertible bond issuance. "We are near-term negative on this development as it could dilute our fully-diluted (earnings per share) by 4%," CIMB said in a note. "But if the group can activate earnings-enhancing (mergers and acquisitions), we will turn positive on this exercise."
Sunday, August 26, 2012
Market Summary 25 August 2012
The 30-shares Straits Times Index closed 0.2%, or 5.88
points, lower at 3,050.49. Intraday, the benchmark touched a low of 3,036.68.
It ended the week with a 0.4% loss. Market volume was lower, with 1.22 billion
shares trading hands compared with 1.76 billion on Thursday. Losers outnumbered
gainers 213 to 168.
Asian stocks took their cue from the U.S. , where the
Dow Jones Industrial Average posted its biggest loss in more than a month as
investors grew less sure that a new round of quantitative easing is on the way.
Lim & Tan Securities said in a note that earlier expectations the U.S.
Federal Reserve was preparing to take steps to support the economy have boosted
markets to the point where they are now vulnerable to a setback in the absence
of new Fed moves.
In Singapore, Keppel Corp. was among the worst performers on
the benchmark index, shedding 1.6% to close at S$11.39 as some investors sought
to book profits after a run up in the share price of the world's biggest rig
builder after it announced a slew of orders this month. Smaller rival Sembcorp
Marine closed 0.6% lower at S$5.03, also giving up some of its recent gains.
Olam International shed 1.5% to close at S$2.00 as investors
remained jittery about the commodity supplier's earnings report, due on Tuesday.
Noble Group closed 0.8% lower at S$1.245, while Wilmar International shed 0.6%
to close at S$3.18.
Neptune Orient Lines, whose shares react sharply to
developments in the western economies where the container shipper is most
exposed in its business, fell 1.3% to close at S$1.145.
Fraser & Neave was the top performer on the STI, adding
1.6% to close at S$8.45 after a large chunk of the company's shares traded
hands in a block trade, fuelling speculation Thai Beverage is building up its
stake in the company ahead of the conglomerate's shareholders' vote on
Heineken's offer for Asia Pacific Breweries, the makers of Tiger beer. Asia
Pacific Breweries was flat at S$53.
Sunday, August 19, 2012
Market Summary 18 August 2012
The 30-share Straits Times Index fell 0.03%, or 0.78 points,
to close at 3,062.11. Volumes were 1.74 billion shares, down from 1.99 billion
on Thursday, with gainers outnumbering losers by 197 to 157.
Rig-builder Keppel Corp. continued its climb, gaining 0.5%
to close at S$11.58, as the stock benefits from a fat orderbook.
Commodity companies closed lower, amid concerns that their
margins will be squeezed as governments seek to tamp down inflation and the
global economy remains tepid. Olam International Ltd. fell 1.0% to close at
S$2.04, while Golden Agri-Resources Ltd. dropped 0.7% to S$0.71.
Shares of Fraser & Neave Ltd. and Asia Pacific Breweries
Ltd. were suspended from trade, at the companies' request, as people familiar
with the situation said Heineken is in talks with F&N about an increased
offer for APB. Heineken now raises offer for APB to $53 from $50.
Just to shared.
Singapore is in holiday mood that is why the shares does not move volatility but inch up or down. The USA seems has better recovery rate now compare to others nations. Europe remains flat and China hard landing seems getting worried. I hope their government aware the situation and planning for solution, otherwise their hard landing will get the world economic worsen.
Sunday, August 12, 2012
Market Summary 11 August 2012
Singapore shares ended flat Friday in line with most regional bourses, as disappointing Chinese trade data curbed appetite for shares. The 30-share Straits Times Index inched up 1.95 points to close at 3,054.20.
China's trade surplus fell below expectations, as exports suffered from slack external demand. Earlier in the day, Singapore's government announced the economy contracted 0.7% in the second quarter, a slightly smaller contraction than forecast earlier, but it warned of headwinds from global uncertainties. "There's no inspiration on the macro front" in either Singapore or China, said Song Seng Wun, head of research at CIMB.
Volumes were down with 1.17 billion shares traded compared with 1.36 billion on Wednesday. Singapore markets were closed Thursday for National Day. Gainers outnumbered decliners 216 to 146.
Among the shares that gained, Keppel Corp. rose 1.5%, closing at S$11.40, after it announced two rig-building contracts worth about US$950 million from Brazil's Petrobras-led consortium.
Food and beverage firm Fraser & Neave Ltd. was up 0.9% after a block trade Friday morning raised speculation that Thai Beverage PCL could be adding to its stake. ThaiBev has been building its stake in F&N, and now owns 24.1%. Goh Han Peng, an analyst at DMG & Partners, said it's likely ThaiBev is behind the latest trade because it would pressure Heineken NV to increase its offer for Asia Pacific Breweries Ltd. Heineken and F&N have a 50-50 joint venture that owns a 64.8% stake in APB.
Among the losers on the STI, Neptune Orient Lines was the day's biggest decliner, shedding 4.1% to close at S$1.165, after the container shipper posted a net loss of US$291 million on Wednesday.
Capitaland declined 2.29%, closing at $2.99, as investors remain wary of China's property market. "The perception is that the Chinese property market, although it has bottomed out, it may not be allowed to run too much," said CIMB's Song.
Just to share.
China's trade surplus fell below expectations, as exports suffered from slack external demand. Earlier in the day, Singapore's government announced the economy contracted 0.7% in the second quarter, a slightly smaller contraction than forecast earlier, but it warned of headwinds from global uncertainties. "There's no inspiration on the macro front" in either Singapore or China, said Song Seng Wun, head of research at CIMB.
Volumes were down with 1.17 billion shares traded compared with 1.36 billion on Wednesday. Singapore markets were closed Thursday for National Day. Gainers outnumbered decliners 216 to 146.
Among the shares that gained, Keppel Corp. rose 1.5%, closing at S$11.40, after it announced two rig-building contracts worth about US$950 million from Brazil's Petrobras-led consortium.
Food and beverage firm Fraser & Neave Ltd. was up 0.9% after a block trade Friday morning raised speculation that Thai Beverage PCL could be adding to its stake. ThaiBev has been building its stake in F&N, and now owns 24.1%. Goh Han Peng, an analyst at DMG & Partners, said it's likely ThaiBev is behind the latest trade because it would pressure Heineken NV to increase its offer for Asia Pacific Breweries Ltd. Heineken and F&N have a 50-50 joint venture that owns a 64.8% stake in APB.
Among the losers on the STI, Neptune Orient Lines was the day's biggest decliner, shedding 4.1% to close at S$1.165, after the container shipper posted a net loss of US$291 million on Wednesday.
Capitaland declined 2.29%, closing at $2.99, as investors remain wary of China's property market. "The perception is that the Chinese property market, although it has bottomed out, it may not be allowed to run too much," said CIMB's Song.
Just to share.
Sunday, July 29, 2012
Market Summary at 27th July 2012
Singapore shares closed slightly lower on Friday amid lower volumes as traders were unwilling to take fresh positions ahead of the weekend, while Wilmar International fell after being asked by the Chinese government to keep edible oil prices steady.
The 30-share Straits Times Index fell 0.2%, or 6.08 points, to close the day at 2,998.49 after touching an intraday high of 3,029.53. However, the benchmark fell below the psychologically important 3,000 mark in the latter half of the trading session.
The markets had started on a positive note, buoyed by a statement Thursday by European Central Bank President Mario Draghi, who said the ECB is ready to do whatever it takes to preserve the common-currency union.
Shares of 184 companies gained while 171 ended lower on Friday. However, volumes were lower at 1.24 billion compared with 1.46 billion on Thursday and the benchmark finished the week with a 0.6% loss.
"It's a Friday...Things might happen over the weekend. Investors might not be willing to take positions at this point in time," said Lee Kok Joo, head of research at Phillip Securities. He added that the ECB's statement of support "might not be enough to bring cheer to the market over the weekend."
Singapore Airlines closed 0.7% lower at S$10.82 as some investors sought to cash in on the carrier's 2% gain on Thursday after it reported improved income in the April-to-June quarter.
Wilmar was the worst performer on the benchmark with a 4.4% loss to end the day at S$3.28. The company said that the Chinese government has advised edible-oil producers to avoid raising prices "unless absolutely necessary." The move possibly reflects that the government is worried about resurgent food prices despite inflation ebbing to its lowest level since January 2010, after a sharp weather-driven rally in U.S. grain prices late last week.
In contrast, other commodity firms were among the biggest gainers on Friday as investors hoped efforts in Europe to staunch the region's economic crisis would benefit suppliers. Olam International ended the day with the biggest gains among the 30-STI stocks. Its shares gained 2% to S$1.80. Noble Group was up 1% at S$1.045 while Golden Agri-Resources gained 0.7% to end at S$0.715.
Singapore's telecommunications companies, considered relatively safer bets in a volatile market, also gained. Singapore Telecommunications rose 1.2% to S$3.48 and smaller rival StarHub was 1.1% higher at S$3.68.
Just to share.
In my previous post, http://sharesdiscussion.blogspot.nl/2012/07/market-summary-13-july-2012.html i was saying the 3000 points will be penetrated and do not be excited if that happened. I think that situation still apply on current STI. Past week STI falls below 3000 points again; it will keep struggling at this level.
If any negative news releases, it is advisable to sell off your short term scheduled stocks immediately and wait for bottom shopping. If STI unable to firm itself better at 3000 points, deep slump will definitely happen. Anyway STI remains uptrend now, the chance to go higher is increasing unless any shocking news being released at near term.
The 30-share Straits Times Index fell 0.2%, or 6.08 points, to close the day at 2,998.49 after touching an intraday high of 3,029.53. However, the benchmark fell below the psychologically important 3,000 mark in the latter half of the trading session.
The markets had started on a positive note, buoyed by a statement Thursday by European Central Bank President Mario Draghi, who said the ECB is ready to do whatever it takes to preserve the common-currency union.
Shares of 184 companies gained while 171 ended lower on Friday. However, volumes were lower at 1.24 billion compared with 1.46 billion on Thursday and the benchmark finished the week with a 0.6% loss.
"It's a Friday...Things might happen over the weekend. Investors might not be willing to take positions at this point in time," said Lee Kok Joo, head of research at Phillip Securities. He added that the ECB's statement of support "might not be enough to bring cheer to the market over the weekend."
Singapore Airlines closed 0.7% lower at S$10.82 as some investors sought to cash in on the carrier's 2% gain on Thursday after it reported improved income in the April-to-June quarter.
Wilmar was the worst performer on the benchmark with a 4.4% loss to end the day at S$3.28. The company said that the Chinese government has advised edible-oil producers to avoid raising prices "unless absolutely necessary." The move possibly reflects that the government is worried about resurgent food prices despite inflation ebbing to its lowest level since January 2010, after a sharp weather-driven rally in U.S. grain prices late last week.
In contrast, other commodity firms were among the biggest gainers on Friday as investors hoped efforts in Europe to staunch the region's economic crisis would benefit suppliers. Olam International ended the day with the biggest gains among the 30-STI stocks. Its shares gained 2% to S$1.80. Noble Group was up 1% at S$1.045 while Golden Agri-Resources gained 0.7% to end at S$0.715.
Singapore's telecommunications companies, considered relatively safer bets in a volatile market, also gained. Singapore Telecommunications rose 1.2% to S$3.48 and smaller rival StarHub was 1.1% higher at S$3.68.
Just to share.
In my previous post, http://sharesdiscussion.blogspot.nl/2012/07/market-summary-13-july-2012.html i was saying the 3000 points will be penetrated and do not be excited if that happened. I think that situation still apply on current STI. Past week STI falls below 3000 points again; it will keep struggling at this level.
If any negative news releases, it is advisable to sell off your short term scheduled stocks immediately and wait for bottom shopping. If STI unable to firm itself better at 3000 points, deep slump will definitely happen. Anyway STI remains uptrend now, the chance to go higher is increasing unless any shocking news being released at near term.
Sunday, July 22, 2012
Market Summary 21 July 2012
The 30-share Straits Times Index fell 0.4%, or 13.43 points, to 3,015.53, reversing some of the index's 1.9% gain over the last five sessions. Despite the fall, the index still ended the week 0.7% higher.
"It's quite a bit of profit-taking," said Carey Wong, an analyst at OCBC. "We are approaching the weekend. Yesterday, we did hit the previous high--3,033--but the market wasn't very convinced. It didn't have the strength to sustain itself."
Noting that corporate earnings have so far been in line with expectations, Mr. Wong said "what potentially could happen is the market has not run too much ahead, but most of the positives may have been priced in. So for the market to continue to push ahead or stretch valuations may be a little bit tough."
Volume, while relatively sparse, inched higher to 1.27 billion shares from the 1.24 billion shares traded Thursday, while decliners outnumbered gainers 223 to 133.
Property-related stocks performed poorly, led lower by shopping mall developer CapitaMalls Asia's 2.2% decline to S$1.58. Real estate group CapitaLand fell 0.3% to S$2.95, while rival City Developments retreated 0.1% to S$11.89.
Other counters sensitive to economic cycles also slumped, including palm oil producer Golden Agri-Resources, which fell 1.3% to S$0.760. Rival Wilmar International eased 1.1% to S$3.58, while Olam International declined 0.8% to S$1.845.
Singapore Exchange was among just eight gainers on the benchmark index, rising 1.1% to S$6.75 after
Just to share.
Monday, July 16, 2012
STI Dividends brings 2012 YTD total return to 15.02%
Over the first two weeks of July, the STI gained 4.07%. This
brought the STI 2012 YTD price gain to 13.20%, placing Singapore at
the top of the world’s major stock markets in terms of performance.
The total return of the STI in the 2012 YTD amounts to 15.02%
with approximately 1.82% in dividend return added to the 13.20% price gain.
The 2012 YTD total returns of the 30 STI stocks have varied
from -28.55% for Wilmar to +44.31% for CapitaMalls Asia.
For the 29 STI stocks that pay dividends, indicative yields vary
from 0.70% for Jardine Strategic and City Developments to 5.59% for Starhub.
Over the first half of July, the Straits Times Index (STI)
gained 4.07%. This brought the 2012
year-to-date (YTD) price gain to 13.20%. The YTD return of 13.20% places Singapore at
the top of the world’s major stock markets in terms of performance. In SGD terms, the 2012 year-to-date gains of
the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Hang Seng Index are +2.03% and +1.19%
respectively.
The 13.20% price gain of the STI is not inclusive of the
dividends that have be paid on constituent stocks over the first six months.
Each of the 30 constituents stocks are weighed in the index according to the
size of the stock, that is its market capitalisation. Thus, with its 10% STI
weighting, the dividend of SingTel will have more impact on the total return of
the STI than the dividend of Starhub with its less than 1% STI weighting.
Taking the index weightings of the 30 STI stocks into
consideration with the respective dividend distributions in 2012, the total
return of the STI in the YTD amounts to 15.02%. That is, 13.20% in price return
and 1.82% in dividend return.
The total return of the 30 constituent stocks, in addition
to indicative dividend yields are detailed below. The indicated dividend yield,
consists of the most recently announced dividend amount, annualised based on
the payment frequency, then divided by the last price. In this case, the last
price is the Friday close.
For instance in the case of CapitaMall Trust, the most
recently announced divided of S$0.023 is then annualised to S$0.092 based on a
quarterly distribution and divided by the Friday close at S$1.945. This produces an indicative dividend
yield of 4.73%.
Total Return of 30 Stocks that make up the Straits Times Index | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source: Bloomberg, 13 July 2012 |
Total Return of 30 Stocks that make up the Straits Times
Index
The performances of the 30 stocks of the STI have varied
with four out of five STI stocks producing a YTD return by both measures of
price gain and total return. As detailed
in the table, performances have varied from a total return of -28.55% for
Wilmar to +44.31% for CapitaMalls Asia. For the 29 STI stocks that pay
dividends, indicative yields vary from 0.7% for Genting to 5.6% for Starhub.
With reporting season to soon begin in earnest, investors
are reminded that the weekly economic calendar provides dates of earnings
reports and ex-dividend dates. Investors are reminded that buyers of the stock
on the ex-date will not receive the most recently declared dividends.
Subscription to the calendar is available here.
Dividends declared by Singapore Exchange (SGX) listed
companies will be distributed either in cash or shares. For cash dividends,
investors can opt for cheque payment or direct crediting services. The latter
mode will provide the investor with the convenience of receiving
Singapore-dollar dividends in the designated bank account directly on payment
date. Investors can hence save the time and hassle of making a trip to the bank
to deposit your cheques.
Source from SGX
Saturday, July 14, 2012
Market Summary 13 July 2012
The 30-share Straits Times Index rose 0.8%, or 23.52 points,
to 2,995.56, reversing from a 0.6% decline on Thursday. Intraday, the benchmark
touched a high of 2,999.34, very close to piercing the psychological resistance
level of 3,000. For the week, the index closed 0.6% higher.
Even so, "traders are still overwhelmingly favoring
lower-risk assets with so much concern still circulating over the rate of
global growth for the remainder of 2012," Tim Waterer, senior trader at
CMC Markets, said in a note. In a sign of still-fragile sentiment, volume
declined to 1.75 billion shares from 2.36 billion shares on Thursday. Gainers
outnumbered decliners 225 to 133.
Food and beverage company Fraser & Neave rose 5.3% to
S$7.79, buoyed by the Chinese data that may help ease concerns about sales.
Telecommunications firms were also among major gainers as
their relative safety and higher yield potential prompted several analysts to
make buy recommendations. Singapore Telecommunications gained 3% to S$3.47
while StarHub was up 2% at S$3.58.
City Developments added 2% to close at S$11.36, Global
Logistic Properties gained 1.9% to close at S$2.19 while CapitaLand was up 1%
at S$2.95, as investors interpreted GDP data may be less of a dampener on real
estate sentiment.
Just to share.
STI so close to 3000 points! The overall sentiment is positive but investor cannot neglect the macro economic condition likes US and Europe economic data. My feeling is next week STI may protrude 3000 points with some excited investor bets their money on penny stocks. I have 70% confident this condition will happen, hence if STI penetrated 3000 points without any good basic; do not be excited.
Anyway, STI at uptrend now, what STI needs is good news from macroeconomic to firm up the 3000 points otherwise do not be excited for the penetration because its not going to stay long without any improvement from macroeconomic condition. Stay tune!
Anyway, STI at uptrend now, what STI needs is good news from macroeconomic to firm up the 3000 points otherwise do not be excited for the penetration because its not going to stay long without any improvement from macroeconomic condition. Stay tune!
Wednesday, July 11, 2012
The worst is over?
HONG KONG : Despite recent signs of a slowdown in China, some economists believe that the worst is over for the world's number two economy.
According to economists at HSBC, fears of a hard landing for China have been overplayed.
Amid sluggish demand for exports from Western economies, growth in emerging markets such as China and Brazil lost steam in the second quarter of this year.
The HSBC Emerging Markets Index fell to 53 in the second quarter of 2012 from 53.6 the previous quarter.
But with a reading of 50 or above indicating economic expansion, HSBC is taking a positive look at the numbers.
Frederic Neumann, co-head of Asian Economics Research at HSBC, said: "Is there something happening in Asia that all growth rates are coming down? And the answer is yes. Our growth rates are coming down, we are not going to go back to the previous growth rates. But we are also not going to go back to a Japanese or European-style growth rate, we are going to be at a fairly comfortable pace."
All eyes are on China, with weaker trade data out this week raising fears about a prolonged economic slowdown.
But HSBC said the worst is over for the world's second largest economy.
It believes that China's economic growth bottomed out in the second quarter, with 7.8 per cent year-on-year growth.
And it expects to see a pick-up in the second half of the year, taking full-year growth to 8.4 per cent.
Mr Neumann said: "Domestic demand is still expanding. Car sales, for example, have picked up. There is evidence that real estate market activity has started to pick up again the last few weeks.
"So we absolutely do not think there is a risk of a hard landing in China. And we do think the Chinese authorities will do everything in their power to maintain growth at a reasonable speed."
HSBC expects China's central bank to announce another 200 basis-point cut in the reserve requirement ratio for banks before the end of the year.
As for the region as a whole, the lender is forecasting a 6.8 per cent expansion for Asia-ex Japan this year, and 7.5 per cent growth in 2013.
HSBC said the days of double-digit growth for regional economies are over, at least for the next five years.
But economists said that a slower pace of growth is a good thing, as it will mean less volatility, especially for financial markets.
Source fromhttp://www.channelnewsasia.com
STI has remain uptrend for two weeks due to several good news like Europe crisis easing and not too worst US economic data. Now the expert believes the worst is over for China. Can STI boosted above 3000 points and create another uptrend wave? Now i start to believe it will happen soon. The world economic is not doing well, hence i will treat this as a short term uptrend wave. This can be a good chance to let go your unpleasant portfolio and re-structure it. if it happened, do not greedy, earn less, let go and standby your cash for the forthcoming downtrend; shopping at lower price is the best, keep your eyes on blue chips!
According to economists at HSBC, fears of a hard landing for China have been overplayed.
Amid sluggish demand for exports from Western economies, growth in emerging markets such as China and Brazil lost steam in the second quarter of this year.
The HSBC Emerging Markets Index fell to 53 in the second quarter of 2012 from 53.6 the previous quarter.
But with a reading of 50 or above indicating economic expansion, HSBC is taking a positive look at the numbers.
Frederic Neumann, co-head of Asian Economics Research at HSBC, said: "Is there something happening in Asia that all growth rates are coming down? And the answer is yes. Our growth rates are coming down, we are not going to go back to the previous growth rates. But we are also not going to go back to a Japanese or European-style growth rate, we are going to be at a fairly comfortable pace."
All eyes are on China, with weaker trade data out this week raising fears about a prolonged economic slowdown.
But HSBC said the worst is over for the world's second largest economy.
It believes that China's economic growth bottomed out in the second quarter, with 7.8 per cent year-on-year growth.
And it expects to see a pick-up in the second half of the year, taking full-year growth to 8.4 per cent.
Mr Neumann said: "Domestic demand is still expanding. Car sales, for example, have picked up. There is evidence that real estate market activity has started to pick up again the last few weeks.
"So we absolutely do not think there is a risk of a hard landing in China. And we do think the Chinese authorities will do everything in their power to maintain growth at a reasonable speed."
HSBC expects China's central bank to announce another 200 basis-point cut in the reserve requirement ratio for banks before the end of the year.
As for the region as a whole, the lender is forecasting a 6.8 per cent expansion for Asia-ex Japan this year, and 7.5 per cent growth in 2013.
HSBC said the days of double-digit growth for regional economies are over, at least for the next five years.
But economists said that a slower pace of growth is a good thing, as it will mean less volatility, especially for financial markets.
Source fromhttp://www.channelnewsasia.com
STI has remain uptrend for two weeks due to several good news like Europe crisis easing and not too worst US economic data. Now the expert believes the worst is over for China. Can STI boosted above 3000 points and create another uptrend wave? Now i start to believe it will happen soon. The world economic is not doing well, hence i will treat this as a short term uptrend wave. This can be a good chance to let go your unpleasant portfolio and re-structure it. if it happened, do not greedy, earn less, let go and standby your cash for the forthcoming downtrend; shopping at lower price is the best, keep your eyes on blue chips!
Saturday, July 7, 2012
Market Summary 7 July 2012
The 30-share Straits Times Index gained 0.2%, or 7.08
points, to close at 2,978.55. The benchmark had started the day in the red and
sentiment stayed depressed for most of the session as investors were worried
that policy makers are growing increasingly gloomy about growth. However,
sentiment picked up toward the end of the session as investors continued to see
value in the nation's stocks. The benchmark finished the week with a 3.5% gain.
Volume was lightly higher Friday, at 1.50 billion shares
compared with 1.46 billion Thursday. Gainers outnumbered losers 238 to 137.
The European Central Bank's move to lower borrowing costs
was widely anticipated by the market, but China rate cut Thursday came as
something of a surprise. The moves "have in essence given traders a
greater puzzle to solve in regards to whether being long, short or sidelined is
the smart choice," said Tim Waterer, senior trader at CMC Markets, in a
note.
Global markets now await U.S. non-farm payrolls data set to
be released later in the global day, with economists expecting a gain of as
many as 100,000 new jobs in June. The crucial jobs report is likely to hold
clues about the possibility of a third round of quantitative easing by the U.S.
Federal Reserve. "If we do see a soft payrolls number, how much heart the
market takes from an increased likelihood of QE3 will be critical," said
Waterer.
Some real-estate firms continued their winning streak Friday
as lower interest rates are likely to boost sales. CapitaLand gained 2.8% to
close at S$2.98, making it the biggest gainer on the benchmark, while
CapitaMalls Asia added 0.3% to close at S$1.625.
DBS Bank gained 0.6% to close at S$14.09 after the
government announced a banking cooperation agreement with China . Under
the agreement, China will
expedite processing of applications made by Singapore
banks to establish branches and sub-branches in the country, according to a Singapore
government statement. Implementation details will be worked out by the relevant
financial agencies in Singapore
and China
in due course, the statement said, without naming any banks.
Golden Agri-Resources gained 1.4% to close at S$0.720 but
other commodity suppliers were lower after gaining in recent sessions. Noble
Group closed 1.3% lower at S$1.135 while Wilmar International lost 0.5% to
close at S$3.66.
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